: Thoughts on the Nature and Future of Electric Power
     moderated by Michael Potts & Paul Gipe

Introduction

Summary

History

Bogus Crisis

Remedies

Solutions

Feedback

Opinions on and about the crisis
Meadows   Gipe   Berman   Nader   Hightower   Hughes   Sierra Club   Cheney

Michael Kahn and Loretta Lynch
in their official "California's Electricity Options and Challenges, Report to Governor Gray Davis" jointly sponsored by the state's Electricity Oversight Board and the Public Utilities Commission
     "On June 14 [2000], PG&E was required to intentionally interrupt nearly 100,000 customers for the first time in its history. This remarkable event was not related to insufficient supply . . . Rather, it was related to grid instability in the Bay area. . . instability was created by generator decisions to generate energy without notifying the ISO [.] Generators created these deviations in order to be paid a higher price within the ISO Control Area . . . Voltage instability related to gaming on the previous days, import limitations, power plants out, and record temperatures set the state for disaster. . ."
at this site: Paul Gipe's abstract of this important document [and corrections]
the entire report is available at the PUC website

Senator George Norris (R, Nebraska):
     "Some kind of monopoly is necessary to get the most out of [electricity]. If privately owned, it might be operated for a time by public-spirited men. But it is human nature to get the most it can out of such a situation. Eventually it would come to tyranny.... I've been called a Communist, a Socialist and some worse things. I'm nothing of the sort. I believe in our own government. I want to protect our people in the enjoyment of those God-given things that are intended for the use of all the people. If public ownership is the proper thing, I don't hesitate to accept it, whether you call it socialistic or not."
New York Times, 1930(?),
quoted in the SF Bay Guardian
But what are the alternatives? Here are OUR SOLUTIONS
new 14 June 2001
Jim Hightower
columnist and former Texas Agriculture Commissioner
     "They've eliminated the middle man. The corporations don't have to lobby the government any more. They ARE the government."
as quoted by Greg Palast in the London Observer, May 20, 2001
new 14 June 2001
Greg Palast
writing about the proposed Bush Energy Policy
     "...as soon as I got a whiff of the President's proposals, I knew his plan had nothing to do with helping out the Gore-voting surfers on the Left Coast. Bush's 'energy crisis' plan reeks of pure eau du Texas, that sulphurous combination of pollution, payola and political power unique to the Lone Star State."
new 14 June 2001
John Price
in his unpublished paper "Oil and Global Recession"
     "Quietly (no-one seems to have noticed) Governor Davis has brought in new standards requiring new buildings, and non-residential buildings up for retrofitting, to comply with energy conservation measures requiring, inter alia, 'superwindows' and daylighting. The potential electricity savings ('nega-watts') to be gained by adopting these 'emergency' standards are huge. Face will be saved by building more plants — probably to end up as surplus to requirements. And just as well: the gas to fire them is in short supply."
download his unpublished paper
requires Acrobat Reader to read

Dana Meadows
with Dennis Meadows and Jørgen Randers
     "Calculations of how much energy could be saved through efficiency depend on the technical and political biases of the people who do the calculating. On the conservative end of the range, it seems certain that the North American economy could do everything it now does, with currently available technologies and at current or lower costs, using half as much energy."

Senator Edmund S. Muskie:
     [Presently we] "impose the cost of pollution on people who breathe, so the people who pollute can avoid the cost of control. I think that is backwards. What must life be like for that asthmatic child when the very air can make her a shut-in and even threaten her life? What does it cost the rest of us to turn our backs on that child when the solution to her problem is known?"

Sim Van der Ryn:
     "Government hasn't supported the idea of conservation since the Carter and Jerry Brown days. Ronald Reagan said 'no one is going to freeze in the dark,' so we have had cheap energy for years because of political expediency... It's the same as what happened with oil and now we have all these huge gas-guzzling SUVs. Deregulation of the power grid has been a complete disaster. PG&E used to have a good conservation plan but it was eliminated. It's all part of the globalization process, to hell with community and local resources.
     "Photovoltaics should be mandatory on all large flat roofs. Cisco Systems is beuilding a 20,000 person development in the South Bay and they aren't installing PV. The Marin Countywide Plan talks about 'sustainability.' Well, they should make PV a requirement, all new commercial construction should require a 25 percent reduction in energy consumption. The big oil companies have been buying up all the solar companies, just as the big automobile manufacturers once bought up all the trolley lines. The only way for a company like British Petroleum will jump into solar is if they see a big market emerging. It's a pricing and profit issue. If energy prices stay high, then you will see a big jump into solar."
as quoted in Pacific Sun, 7 February 2001

Richard A. Bilas
explaining why he was voting for a 10% rate increase; (Califonia Public Utilities Commission (CPUC))
     "As a free-market economist it is difficult to recant and utter these sentiments. I do so because I do not see true competition in the market and because our market-surveillance economic experts assert market manipulation must exist to cause these unprecedented prices. I am deeply troubled by the lack of power. This commission has to go after the culprits in this scenario which, through their collusion, are bringing the utilities to the brink of insolvency and the reliability of the electric system to the edge, at great cost to consumers. To paraphrase Adam Smith, never do men of the same trade get together when they do not do harm to the public. It must be stopped. Those generators making windfall profits at present have no incentive to curb their behavior. After long reflection, I must conclude that the surest way out of this dilemma is for the legislature to immediately establish a California Power Authority to set the rules of the game and to have the power of condemnation at fair market value over all state generation. Calls for behavior modification have not worked. Action must be taken."
quoted in the SF Bay Guardian

Paul Gipe's prescription:
as printed in Paul's 1999 update in Michael Potts's New Independent Home
     "There is a much simpler, better way to develop renewable energy... the American wind industry's lobbying for tax credits goes in exactly the wrong direction. What we need is something simple and direct, an arrangement like they have in Denmark and Germany. And we'll only get it if we ask for it.
     "We need an 'electricity feed law' like that of Germany: a Public Utility Regulatory Policy Act (PURPA) for the new millennium. The German electricity feed law says, like PURPA, that you have the right to connect to the grid and sell power. Unlike PURPA, the German law spells out what you get paid: 90% of the utility's retail rate. No endless meetings, no paper shuffling, no lawyers! It's as simple as that.
     "Net metering won't do it. Every state that has net metering limits it to either solar or small-scale wind generation. In Germany, there's no limit on the size of your wind turbine. You use what makes the most economic sense. That's the way it should be.
     "I'm for taking a radical step, adopting an electricity feed law. The electricity feed law in Germany is startingly simple, it's only two paragraphs. Let the lawyers, utility apologists, greenwashing con-artists, and beltway bandits getting fat on deregulation and tax credits designed for only rich corporations stew in their own juices!
     "This is a controversial stand. The wind industry says I'm being unrealistic, we're Americans, and it doesn't fit within our political and economic environment. I disagree. It fits with a Jeffersonian vision of the kind of America we want."
the full text of Paul's prescient analysis and prescription at The New Independent Home's website.
more from Paul on the crisis:    History   Solution   Emotional effect

William Marcus and Greg Ruszovan
     ". . . Distributed photovoltaic generation, with its relatively strong correlation with peak loads, (JBS Energy, 1996) could be particularly important in this regard. This finding that conservation not only benefits the conserver but everyone else should become the cornerstone of a new public goods imperative and the associated rate design policy."

Union of Concerned Scientists:
Alan Nogee, Steven Clemmer, Bentham Paulos, Brent Haddad
     "Renewable energy technologies can not only keep dollars in this country, but also create significant regional benefits through economic development. Many states are dependent on energy imports -- Iowa and Massachusetts, for example, each import about 97 percent of the energy they use. Renewable technologies create jobs using local resources in a new, "green" high-tech industry with enormous export potential. They also expand work indirectly in local support industries like banks and construction firms. As table I shows. during the l990s, the US renewable electricity industry employed nearly 117,000 people."
TABLE I :
Employment in the Renewable Energy Industry
Employment
Direct
Indirect
Total
Wind (1992)
1,260
4,350
5,610
Biomass (1992)
66,000
PhotoVoltaics (1994)
15,000
Solar Thermal (1994)
250
250
500
Geothermal (1996)
10,000
20,000
30,000
Total
116,860
read the whole report: Powerful Solutions

Dan Berman's solution:
     [California's Governor Gray Davis] could start by taking Bilas's courageous advice and condemning the state's generators. While a fair price is being determined, he should push for a law that reregulates the generators by requiring them to file tariffs and sell their electricity at a reasonable price -- cost plus a fixed profit, not the 34.4¢ per kilowatt-hour recorded in December's PG&E bills for electricity that costs 3¢ or 4¢ to produce.
     He should then go on to take the following steps:
  • Create a California Power Authority to operate the generation plants at cost, with supply priority being given to public power entities like SMUD.
  • Introduce a bill to create an excess-profits tax to get back the extorted revenues, as Prime Minister Tony Blair did in response to gouging English generators.
  • Remove the barriers to the creation of publicly owned systems and establish a fair and rapid system for valuation of utility properties that are condemned.
  • Declare that there will be no service cutbacks and no layoffs of operating personnel at the properties now under state control or regulation, and that union contracts will be honored.
  • Ban utility money from politics.
  • Refuse to allow bailouts. If the state continues to finance the utilities, it must make them give up real assets, such as PG&E's hydro system, dollar-for-dollar with interest.
  • Institute the "5 percent solution," which would set aside 5 percent of utility revenues for conservation and energy efficiency and the enforcement of Title 24, the energy-efficiency building code.
  • Mandate solar electric panels (photovoltaics) and solar water heaters for all new building and any substantial retrofits. The International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers has already begun to train construction apprentices on how to install building-integrated P.V. panels. What we need is a million solar roofs and 100,000 new solar jobs, not 20 new power plants fired with high-priced natural gas.
writing in a 31 January 2001 San Francisco Bay Guardian article
"The bigger they are ... The harder they fall: The last days of PG&E and SoCal Edison"
more from Dan below...
Is this all a plot by Texans to ruin California? Read why Dan thinks so.

Anoosh Mizany
(owner, The Solar Depot, San Rafael)
     "If more people built solar, there would be no need for any more electric plants or transmission lines. We could do away with all that expensive infrastructure. I think people are waking up to the fact that buying electricity from the grid is like renting. After 20 years you end up owning nothing."
as quoted in Pacific Sun, 7 February 2001

Dan Berman:
     "To this day, public ownership means lower rates and better service. This January a typical PG&E residential customer will pay $59.40 for 500 kilowatt-hours of electricity, compared to $36.89 for a Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD) customer. Average electric bills in San Diego for 500 kilowatt-hours almost tripled under deregulation, from $51.60 in August 1999 to $138.50 in August 2000. By comparison, bills of the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP) have stayed stable at just over $50 for the same months, and they remain stable to this day.
     "The poverty of political and intellectual discourse in California is demonstrated by the fact that even now, eight months into the present crisis, caused by a ruthless cartel's exorbitant demands and engineered 'shortages,' the issue of public ownership and democratic governance is only beginning to be taken seriously by state policy makers. Public power is not a respectable object of university inquiry, even in the much touted energy programs at UC Berkeley, where the topic has been totally ignored, as Upton Sinclair first pointed out in his 1923 book The Goose-Step: A Study in American Education. All we have is talk about 'market signals' and 'appropriate pricing mechanisms' from our professors. Harvard and MIT are identical in this regard. Is it conceivable that utility influence over our magnificent universities is the reason?
     Within our regulatory bodies, nobody has been minding the store for years. Two consecutive antigovernment and antiregulation governors have left public service in a shambles, which Davis is trying, in small ways, to reverse. The CPUC, despite its 'mission ... to assure consumer access to universal, reasonably-priced, safe, reliable, and environmentally sound public utility service while contributing to the economic prosperity of California,' keeps no records on rates of such public power entities as SMUD, LADWP, and Roseville. When asked why not, commission functionaries invariably reply, 'We don't regulate public power.'"
writing in the San Francisco Bay Guardian article
"The bigger they are ... The harder they fall: The last days of PG&E and SoCal Edison"

Savannah Blackwell:
     Q: Is PG&E really broke?
     A: No, not by a long shot. The division of the company that delivers electricity is running a deficit of more than $6 billion, according to the Wall Street Journal. But the parent company, PG&E Corp., in late October 2000 reported a 22 percent jump in profits from the third quarter of 1999.
     PG&E Corp. currently has assets of nearly $34 billion (see "PG&E's Other Pocket"). On Feb. 12 PG&E got permission from federal regulators to protect the parent company from having to pay off the debts of its electricity-sales subsidiary. It's a corporate-law shell game, though: the money's there.
writing in the SF Bay Guardian article
"Deregulation FAQs Why the lights are going dim -- a primer"

Daniel Zoll:
     "Pacific Gas & Electric Company claims it needs a bailout by California taxpayers to avoid bankruptcy. But we're hardly talking about a company that's down to its last dollar.
     "The utility's parent company, PG&E Corporation, has revenues of at least $21 billion and total assets of nearly $34 billion, according to Securities and Exchange Commission reports. The utility insists it cannot use the money from its parent (PG&E Corp.) to pay its debts, arguing that the state's deregulation bill requires the corporation to keep the assets and debts of its subsidiaries separate from one another -- but consumer advocates disagree, saying that the law simply prevents the parent company from using the utility to subsidize itself, not the other way around."
writing in the SF Bay Guardian article
"PG&E's other pocket: Is the company broke? Not even close."

Ralph Nader:
     "California, the nation's most populous state, has become the poster child for electric utility deregulation gone bad. A 1996 state deregulation plan which was supposed to make electricity cheaper has resulted in vastly higher energy costs for consumers and businesses. California residents and businesses paid nearly 11 billion dollars more for electricity last summer than the previous year. The state now faces the possibility of power shortages manipulated for price maximization. This possible manipulation was pointed out by the California Public Utility Commission last summer.
     "Even California's current Democratic governor, Gray Davis, who has tiptoed cautiously into the controversy, calls the state's deregulation "a colossal and dangerous failure." But, now the big question is how the mess is to be cleaned up and, more important, who pays: consumers or the big utilities which promoted the deregulation scheme in the mid 1990s?...
     "Consumers should not be coerced into a monstrous bailout as this electric drama unravels in California. It will be interesting to see who stands up for the consumers against the utilities in California. California has an opportunity to set an example for the nation: an example which establishes clearly that consumers should not be required to pay for failed deregulation schemes, corporate mistakes, and greed. Citizens in other areas of the nation should realize that their states are not immune from the type of deregulation disasters that have befallen California."
writing in the SF Bay Guardian article
"Deregulation disaster: California consumers shouldn't bailout PG&E"

     "...in a growing number of communities around California, the energy crisis has given new life to the venerable idea of publicly owned electricity systems. It makes perfect sense: at a time when private price-gouging and a lack of conservation programs are crippling the state, public power agencies are thriving, with low rates, reliable supplies -- and efficient, effective programs for renewable energy and conservation."
SF Bay Guardian editorial "Power for the people" January 24, 2001

Rachel Brahinsky:
     "Everyone from President George W. Bush and Gov. Gray Davis on down concedes deregulation's failure, but so far the state has merely offered a corporate bailout. It's a solution that critics say is short-term and skirts the real issue: the need for a community-based approach to energy policy. But you won't hear any real discussion of this idea in the mainstream press, where rescuing Pacific Gas and Electric and Southern California Edison from bankruptcy is portrayed as the state's top policy priority.
     "Call it a political blackout: press and politicians are largely ignoring the one solution proved to work -- public power."
writing in the SF Bay Guardian article "The real blackout"

The Sierra Club:
     "The Sierra Club has long advocated for modernizing or replacing older power plants with newer ones. New power plants are up to 50% more efficient and up to 90% cleaner than older ones. Utilities and power producers on the other hand, have resisted building new plants over the last ten years because, until recently, demand did not force them to do so and because the utilities knew that deregulation would force them to sell off plants.
     "In the last three years, a number of proposed power plants have been slowed by objections from competing energy companies."

Dan Berman
on the threat to California's economy
     "The current war over electricity is a war over the future of California.
     "The Confederate Cartel of Southern, Enron, and Reliant is holding California for ransom and looting it dry. There's no doubt Pacific Gas and Electric will try again to push through a huge percentage rate increase - larger than the 10 percent (on average) granted by the California Public Utilities Commission this week. And the bounty will go to holding companies in Texas and the Carolinas, giving them more cash to buy out PG&E Corp. and Edison International.
     "Attorney Jason Zeller, testifying for the normally mild-mannered Office of Ratepayer Advocates, told the commission on December 29 that 'this enormous transfer of wealth ...[is]... the kind of thing that nations have gone to war over.'"
in Bay Guardian article "The Confederate Cartel's war against California - 5 January 2001"
new 14 June 2001
John Price
unpublished article "The Energy Equation: Understanding our Thinking — it really matters
     "Just when politicians think they’ve got it right (e.g. President Clinton or [Australian] Prime Minister Howard), some unexpected geopolitical (or other) event (a 'Shock'), disrupts the supply of oil, leading the crude oil price to rise in the market — and to recessions.
     "Economists generally treat commodities as interchangeable units through the workings of the market system. If the price of one energy source rises, for example, then they believe that the market will simply substitute for this change by moving to another source...
     "Our economies are most sensitive to changes in energy prices, however, because energy dependent processes require particular energy sources. We cannot use electricity to run the internal combustion engines in our cars, nor can we run a computer with petrol."
download the whole article -- requires Adobe Acrobat to read
new 14 June 2001
Kumar Venkat
writing in the 8 June 2001 San Francisco Chronicle
     "Our expectation of unlimited energy at low prices ... isn't consistent with our concern for the environment.
     "Instead of complaining about paying more for electricity and gas this summer, we could use the price structure as a tool to make conservation a habit."

Robert X. Cringely®
InfoWorld.com's tech industry gossip columnist
     "Dell has a new policy for California users.
     "'Any problems on servers or any Dell hardware in these roaming blackout zones nullifies service warranties' if there's no UPS (uninterruptible power supply) in place,' Dell said in an e-mail message.
     "First the new U.S. president and now Dell. Doesn't anyone care about California's power crisis?
     "'I'VE FOUND A house for sale with solar panels,' Randi said. If she buys it, maybe I can move my Dell computer over there."
InfoWorld.com's "Notes from the Field", Tuesday, February 13, 2001

Mary Manning:
     "A nonprofit corporation will be formed to help Nevada inform the rest of the country on the dangers of nuclear waste, an executive said.
      "The corporation will spring from a consortium of Las Vegas businesses, which sent about 70 people to Thursday's meeting.
      "Stephen Cloobeck, president and CEO of Diamond Resorts International, told the gathering he hopes to raise about $10 million for the effort. The money will be used to motivate people across America to oppose burial plans in Nevada, he said...
     "The Department of Energy proposes using federal highways through 43 states [to move the radioactive waste]. More than 53 million people live within a mile of the routes..."
Las Vegas Sun article
"Nevada leaders unite against plans for nuclear waste dump

Lynda V. Mapes
Seattle Times staff reporter
     "...shock waves from California's energy crisis - spiraling prices on the wholesale market - have helped put BPA [Bonneville Power Authority] in a financial crunch. Come Oct. 1, the federal agency may raise its wholesale electric rates anywhere from 95 percent to more than 452 percent, far more than the agency announced just two weeks ago, according to BPA estimates.
     "Worst-affected by the rate increases will be utilities like Nespelem Valley, a so-called 'full-requirements' customer that gets its every kilowatt from BPA. More than 89 of those utilities across the Northwest, including 53 in Washington, will bear the full brunt of BPA's rate increases in October.
     "Yet the bigger threat isn't necessarily the soaring rates: It's losing the Northwest's unique access to BPA's low-cost public power.
     "The agency's financial troubles mean it will struggle to make its payment to the U.S. Treasury in October; other regions of the country long interested in gaining access to the Northwest's power are watching closely.
     "The peril to Northwest ratepayers is real, said Randy Hardy, administrator of BPA from 1991 to 1997.
     "'The risk is greater because of the extreme financial problem Bonneville is in,' Hardy said. 'And now you have an increased threat.
     "'It's not just the folks from the Midwest and the Northeast that want our power. You've got California. They are looking for a solution to their problem and the best one is to take the benefits of Northwest preference.'"
Seattle Times
Monday, February 12, 2001 article "Tiny co-ops face huge power bills"

Thomas P. Hughes:
     "With Microsoft's new Internet linkages, Gates is now distributing as well as processing information much as Ford processed raw materials into automobiles he distributed. But Insull not only processed and transmitted energy, he generated it, too. Now, Gates is making alliances with the content generators in the entertainment and media fields by investing in cable giant Comcast and the all-news channel MSNBC. Move over Insull!"
Seattle Times Editorials & Opinion : Friday, November 14, 1997
in an editorial "William Gates, the new hedgehog"

Who is Samuel Insull?
     He invented the abusive electricity monopoly... {1} {2}
new 14 June 2001
Dick Cheney:
introducing his National Energy Policy report
     "To achieve a 21st century quality of life -- enhanced by reliable energy and a clean environment -- we must modernize conservation, modernize our infrastructure, increase our energy supplies, including renewables, accelerate the protection and improvement of our environment, and increase our energy security."

Paul Gipe
in the response to a question from Michael Potts:
     Q: Paul, I'm afraid that pursuing this course of inquiry will make us sour. What do you think we can do about that?
     "This can't make us any more bitter than we already are. You and I have been banging our heads against the wall for more than two decades about this country's inane attitudes toward energy, and with little effect. If anything, the current crisis vindicates us. It justifies what we've been saying for 25 years: that energy, it's availability and cost, is critical to our future. We've been saying, for example, that we have to pay attention to how we use energy, because no source of energy is limitless--not even solar energy. If we covered every square meter of the earth with solar panels, that's it. There's only so much sunlight falling on the earth. Once you visualize that, you suddenly realize there are limits. And that acknowledgment -- that there are limits -- fundamentally changes how we as the human occupants of this planet view it and the natural world.
      "As renewable energy advocates and environmentalists, we may often privately and quietly root for higher energy prices, particularly in the US where energy has been underpriced in comparison to elsewhere in the world. Even here in California, where electricity is historically more expensive than in other parts of the country, prices are still below world prices. Because of this, our favored sources - wind, solar, and other renewables - are always at an economic disadvantage. This frustrates us when economists ask, 'are your solutions competitive?' We hem and haw, shuffle our feet and then say something like, 'well, they're competitive in Europe.'
      "In this crisis we may be secretly satisfied the prices are higher, in that it buttresses our arguments for renewable energy. Secretly, because there's a lynch mob mentality at work on the right of the political spectrum.
      "The current crisis redeems our work over the years, work that was unsung if not ignored. Today, we again have something useful to say. We are no longer working in the nether reaches of public policy.
      "The tragedy of the current situation is the enormous transfer of wealth to a few out-of-state companies without any social benefit. We have argued for years that higher prices should be used to pay for renewable sources of energy and energy conservation.
      "If we are all going to pay higher prices, if resources are to be valued more highly than before, then I believe the difference between what we were paying before deregulation and what we will be paying should go to develop more renewables. As it now stands, the difference, the inflated profits, go to enrich three corporations, boosting their stock prices, but otherwise providing no benefit to Californians. The money just leaves California. This is money that should have been going into building a sustainable society. The money being literally poured into the electricity sector isn't accomplishing any social good, it's just being pissed away. The federal government will respond in a predictable manner and will perpetuate the pattern. For example, the Bush administration will probably extend subsidies for wind energy. But the subsidies will benefit Big Wind only, not small community-owned wind projects. One company alone, will take 75% of federal taxpayer subsidies.
      "Instead of the society of a few Big Dogs profiting from human misery, we hope that a disruption of business as usual, such as this power crisis, can act as a catalyst for building a more sustainable society, a society of community. This is a positive vision, and the fulfillment of this promise can be seen in northern Europe. If all of us who share this vision keep plugging along, doing our little part, we can accomplish miracles. At least Americans are now paying attention."
more from Paul on the crisis:    1999 Prediction   History   Remedies   Prescription

14 June 2001
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