: Thoughts on the Nature and Future of Electric Power
moderated by Michael Potts & Paul Gipe | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinions on and about the crisis
Michael Kahn and Loretta Lynch
in their official "California's Electricity Options and Challenges, Report to Governor Gray Davis" jointly sponsored by the state's Electricity Oversight Board and the Public Utilities Commission
"On June 14 [2000], PG&E was required to intentionally interrupt nearly 100,000
customers for the first time in its history. This remarkable event was not related to insufficient supply . . . Rather, it was related to grid instability in the Bay area. . . instability was created by generator decisions to generate energy without notifying the ISO [.] Generators created these deviations in order to be paid a higher price within the ISO Control Area . . . Voltage instability related to gaming on the previous days, import limitations, power plants out, and record temperatures set the state for disaster. . ."
at this site: Paul Gipe's abstract of this important document [and corrections]
the entire report is available at the PUC website Senator George Norris (R, Nebraska):
"Some kind of monopoly is necessary to get the most out of [electricity]. If privately owned, it might be operated for a time by public-spirited men. But it is human nature to get the most it can out of such a situation. Eventually it would come to tyranny.... I've been called a Communist, a Socialist and some worse things. I'm nothing of the sort. I believe in our own government. I want to protect our people in the enjoyment of those God-given things that are intended for the use of all the people. If public ownership is the proper thing, I don't hesitate to accept it, whether you call it socialistic or not."
New York Times, 1930(?), quoted in the SF Bay Guardian But what are the alternatives? Here are OUR SOLUTIONS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Jim Hightower
columnist and former Texas Agriculture Commissioner
"They've eliminated the middle man. The corporations don't have to lobby the
government any more. They ARE the government."
as quoted by Greg Palast in the London Observer, May 20, 2001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Greg Palast
writing about the proposed Bush Energy Policy
"...as soon as I got a whiff of the President's proposals, I knew his
plan had nothing to do with helping out the Gore-voting surfers on the Left
Coast. Bush's 'energy crisis' plan reeks of pure eau du Texas, that
sulphurous combination of pollution, payola and political power unique to the
Lone Star State."
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John Price
in his unpublished paper "Oil and Global Recession"
"Quietly (no-one seems to have noticed) Governor Davis has brought in new standards requiring new buildings, and non-residential buildings up for retrofitting, to comply with energy conservation measures requiring, inter alia, 'superwindows' and daylighting. The potential electricity savings ('nega-watts') to be gained by adopting these 'emergency' standards are huge. Face will be saved by building more plants — probably to end up as surplus to requirements. And just as well: the gas to fire them is in short supply."
download his unpublished paper
requires Acrobat Reader to read Dana Meadows
with Dennis Meadows and Jørgen Randers
"Calculations of how much energy could be saved through efficiency depend on the technical and political biases of the people who do the calculating. On the conservative end of the range, it seems certain that the North American economy could do everything it now does, with currently available technologies and at current or lower costs, using half as much energy."
in the book Beyond The Limits
another wonderful source: Dana's landmark "Places to Intervene in a System"
Senator Edmund S. Muskie:
[Presently we] "impose the cost of pollution on people who breathe, so the people who pollute can avoid the cost of control. I think that is backwards. What must life be like for that asthmatic child when the very air can make her a shut-in and even threaten her life? What does it cost the rest of us to turn our backs on that child when the solution to her problem is known?"
November 14, 1995 -- emphasis added
for more on electricity's contribution to death by pollution
Sim Van der Ryn:
"Government hasn't supported the idea of conservation since the Carter and Jerry Brown days. Ronald Reagan said 'no one is going to freeze in the dark,' so we have had cheap energy for years because of political expediency... It's the same as what happened with oil and now we have all these huge gas-guzzling SUVs. Deregulation of the power grid has been a complete disaster. PG&E used to have a good conservation plan but it was eliminated. It's all part of the globalization process, to hell with community and local resources.
"Photovoltaics should be mandatory on all large flat roofs. Cisco Systems is beuilding a 20,000 person development in the South Bay and they aren't installing PV. The Marin Countywide Plan talks about 'sustainability.' Well, they should make PV a requirement, all new commercial construction should require a 25 percent reduction in energy consumption. The big oil companies have been buying up all the solar companies, just as the big automobile manufacturers once bought up all the trolley lines. The only way for a company like British Petroleum will jump into solar is if they see a big market emerging. It's a pricing and profit issue. If energy prices stay high, then you will see a big jump into solar."
as quoted in Pacific Sun, 7 February 2001
Richard A. Bilas
explaining why he was voting for a 10% rate increase; (Califonia Public Utilities Commission (CPUC))
"As a free-market economist it is difficult to recant and utter these sentiments. I do so because I do not see true competition in the market and because our market-surveillance economic experts assert market manipulation must exist to cause these unprecedented prices. I am deeply troubled by the lack of power. This commission has to go after the culprits in this scenario which, through their collusion, are bringing the utilities to the brink of insolvency and the reliability of the electric system to the edge, at great cost to consumers. To paraphrase Adam Smith, never do men of the same trade get together when they do not do harm to the public. It must be stopped. Those generators making windfall profits at present have no incentive to curb their behavior. After long reflection, I must conclude that the surest way out of this dilemma is for the legislature to immediately establish a California Power Authority to set the rules of the game and to have the power of condemnation at fair market value over all state generation. Calls for behavior modification have not worked. Action must be taken."
quoted in the SF Bay Guardian
Paul Gipe's prescription:
as printed in Paul's 1999 update in Michael Potts's New Independent Home
"There is a much simpler, better way to develop renewable energy... the American wind industry's lobbying for tax credits goes in exactly the wrong direction. What we need is something simple and direct, an arrangement like they have in Denmark and Germany. And we'll only get it if we ask for it.
"We need an 'electricity feed law' like that of Germany: a Public Utility Regulatory Policy Act (PURPA) for the new millennium. The German electricity feed law says, like PURPA, that you have the right to connect to the grid and sell power. Unlike PURPA, the German law spells out what you get paid: 90% of the utility's retail rate. No endless meetings, no paper shuffling, no lawyers! It's as simple as that.
"Net metering won't do it. Every state that has net metering limits it to either solar or small-scale wind generation. In Germany, there's no limit on the size of your wind turbine. You use what makes the most economic sense. That's the way it should be.
"I'm for taking a radical step, adopting an electricity feed law. The electricity feed law in Germany is startingly simple, it's only two paragraphs. Let the lawyers, utility apologists, greenwashing con-artists, and beltway bandits getting fat on deregulation and tax credits designed for only rich corporations stew in their own juices!
"This is a controversial stand. The wind industry says I'm being unrealistic, we're Americans, and it doesn't fit within our political and economic environment. I disagree. It fits with a Jeffersonian vision of the kind of America we want."
the full text of Paul's prescient analysis and prescription at The New Independent Home's website.
more from Paul on the crisis: History Solution Emotional effect
William Marcus and Greg Ruszovan
". . . Distributed photovoltaic generation, with its relatively strong correlation with peak loads, (JBS Energy, 1996) could be particularly
important in this regard. This finding that conservation not only benefits
the conserver but everyone else should become the cornerstone of a new
public goods imperative and the associated rate design policy."
excerpts from their comprehensive report on California energy pricing
entitled "Cost Curve Analysis of the California Power Markets"
Union of Concerned Scientists:
Alan Nogee, Steven Clemmer, Bentham Paulos, Brent Haddad
Dan Berman's solution:
[California's Governor Gray Davis] could start by taking Bilas's courageous advice and condemning the state's generators. While a fair price is being determined, he should push for a law that reregulates the generators by requiring them to file tariffs and sell their electricity at a reasonable price -- cost plus a fixed profit, not the 34.4¢ per kilowatt-hour recorded in December's PG&E bills for electricity that costs 3¢ or 4¢ to produce.
He should then go on to take the following steps:
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John Price
unpublished article "The Energy Equation: Understanding our Thinking — it really matters
"Just when politicians think they’ve got it right (e.g. President Clinton or [Australian] Prime Minister Howard), some unexpected geopolitical (or other) event (a 'Shock'), disrupts the supply of oil, leading the crude oil price to rise in the market — and to recessions.
"Economists generally treat commodities as interchangeable units through the workings of the market system. If the price of one energy source rises, for example, then they believe that the market will simply substitute for this change by moving to another source... "Our economies are most sensitive to changes in energy prices, however, because energy dependent processes require particular energy sources. We cannot use electricity to run the internal combustion engines in our cars, nor can we run a computer with petrol." download the whole article -- requires Adobe Acrobat to read | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Kumar Venkat
writing in the 8 June 2001 San Francisco Chronicle
"Our expectation of unlimited energy at low prices ... isn't consistent with our concern for the environment.
"Instead of complaining about paying more for electricity and gas this summer, we could use the price structure as a tool to make conservation a habit."
Robert X. Cringely®
InfoWorld.com's tech industry gossip columnist
"Dell has a new policy for California users.
"'Any problems on servers or any Dell hardware in these roaming blackout zones nullifies service warranties' if there's no UPS (uninterruptible power supply) in place,' Dell said in an e-mail message.
"First the new U.S. president and now Dell. Doesn't anyone care about California's power crisis?
"'I'VE FOUND A house for sale with solar panels,' Randi
said. If she buys it, maybe I can move my Dell computer over there."
InfoWorld.com's "Notes from the Field", Tuesday, February 13, 2001
Mary Manning:
"A nonprofit corporation will be formed to help Nevada inform the rest of the country on the dangers of nuclear waste, an executive said.
"The corporation will spring from a consortium of Las Vegas businesses, which sent about 70 people to Thursday's meeting.
"Stephen Cloobeck, president and CEO of Diamond Resorts International, told the gathering he hopes to raise about $10 million for the effort. The money will be used to motivate people across America to oppose burial plans in Nevada, he said...
"The Department of Energy proposes using federal highways through 43 states [to move the radioactive waste]. More than 53 million people live within a mile of the routes..."
Las Vegas Sun article
"Nevada leaders unite against plans for nuclear waste dump
Lynda V. Mapes
Seattle Times staff reporter
"...shock waves from California's energy crisis - spiraling prices on the wholesale market - have helped put BPA [Bonneville Power Authority] in a financial crunch. Come Oct. 1, the federal agency may raise its wholesale electric rates anywhere from 95 percent to more than 452 percent, far more than the agency announced just two weeks ago, according to BPA estimates.
"Worst-affected by the rate increases will be utilities like Nespelem Valley, a so-called 'full-requirements' customer that gets its every kilowatt from BPA. More than 89 of those utilities across the Northwest, including 53 in Washington, will bear the full brunt of BPA's rate increases in October.
"Yet the bigger threat isn't necessarily the soaring rates: It's losing the Northwest's unique access to BPA's low-cost public power.
"The agency's financial troubles mean it will struggle to make its payment to the U.S. Treasury in October; other regions of the country long interested in gaining access to the Northwest's power are watching closely.
"The peril to Northwest ratepayers is real, said Randy Hardy, administrator of BPA from 1991 to 1997.
"'The risk is greater because of the extreme financial problem Bonneville is in,' Hardy said. 'And now you have an increased threat.
"'It's not just the folks from the Midwest and the Northeast that want our power. You've got California. They are looking for a solution to their problem and the best one is to take the benefits of Northwest preference.'"
Seattle Times
Monday, February 12, 2001 article "Tiny co-ops face huge power bills" Thomas P. Hughes:
"With Microsoft's new Internet linkages, Gates is now distributing as well as processing information much as Ford processed raw materials into automobiles he distributed. But Insull not only processed and transmitted energy, he generated it, too. Now, Gates is making alliances with the content generators in the entertainment and media fields by investing in cable giant Comcast and the all-news channel MSNBC. Move over Insull!"
Seattle Times Editorials & Opinion : Friday, November 14, 1997
in an editorial "William Gates, the new hedgehog"
Who is Samuel Insull?
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Dick Cheney:
introducing his National Energy Policy report
"To achieve a 21st century quality of life -- enhanced by reliable energy and a clean environment -- we must modernize conservation, modernize our infrastructure, increase our energy supplies, including renewables, accelerate the protection and improvement of our environment, and increase our energy security."
Paul Gipe
in the response to a question from Michael Potts:
Q: Paul, I'm afraid that pursuing this course of inquiry will make us sour. What do you think we can do about that?
"This can't make us any more bitter than we already are. You and I have been banging our heads against the wall for more than two decades about this country's inane attitudes toward energy, and with little effect. If anything, the current crisis vindicates us. It justifies what we've been saying for 25 years: that energy, it's availability and cost, is critical to our future. We've been saying, for example, that we have to pay attention to how we use energy, because no source of energy is limitless--not even solar energy. If we covered every square meter of the earth with solar panels, that's it. There's only so much sunlight falling on the earth. Once you visualize that, you suddenly realize there are limits. And that acknowledgment -- that there are limits -- fundamentally changes how we as the human occupants of this planet view it and the natural world.
"As renewable energy advocates and environmentalists, we may often privately and quietly root for higher energy prices, particularly in the US where energy has been underpriced in comparison to elsewhere in the world. Even here in California, where electricity is historically more expensive than in other parts of the country, prices are still below world prices. Because of this, our favored sources - wind, solar, and other renewables - are always at an economic disadvantage. This frustrates us when economists ask, 'are your solutions competitive?' We hem and haw, shuffle our feet and then say something like, 'well, they're competitive in Europe.'
"In this crisis we may be secretly satisfied the prices are higher, in that it buttresses our arguments for renewable energy. Secretly, because there's a lynch mob mentality at work on the right of the political spectrum.
"The current crisis redeems our work over the years, work that was unsung if not ignored. Today, we again have something useful to say. We are no longer working in the nether reaches of public policy.
"The tragedy of the current situation is the enormous transfer of wealth to a few out-of-state companies without any social benefit. We have argued for years that higher prices should be used to pay for renewable sources of energy and energy conservation.
"If we are all going to pay higher prices, if resources are to be valued more highly than before, then I believe the difference between what we were paying before deregulation and what we will be paying should go to develop more renewables. As it now stands, the difference, the inflated profits, go to enrich three corporations, boosting their stock prices, but otherwise providing no benefit to Californians. The money just leaves California. This is money that should have been going into building a sustainable society. The money being literally poured into the electricity sector isn't accomplishing any social good, it's just being pissed away. The federal government will respond in a predictable manner and will perpetuate the pattern. For example, the Bush administration will probably extend subsidies for wind energy. But the subsidies will benefit Big Wind only, not small community-owned wind projects. One company alone, will take 75% of federal taxpayer subsidies.
"Instead of the society of a few Big Dogs profiting from human misery, we hope that a disruption of business as usual, such as this power crisis, can act as a catalyst for building a more sustainable society, a society of community. This is a positive vision, and the fulfillment of this promise can be seen in northern Europe. If all of us who share this vision keep plugging along, doing our little part, we can accomplish miracles. At least Americans are now paying attention."
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